More than one-third of Australian private businesses with ATO tax debts over $100,000 have collapsed in the past year, according to CreditorWatch’s report published in December 2024. That’s over 1,700 companies that either became insolvent or voluntarily shut down, often because they didn’t act in time.
As the ATO increases enforcement, tax debt is no longer a back-burner issue, it’s a financial risk that can ruin even a profitable business.
The good news? Many of these outcomes are preventable with proactive tax debt management and planning.
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Why Businesses are Falling Behind on Tax
It’s easy to assume tax defaults only happen to failing businesses. The reality is quite different. Many business owners fall behind because of:
- Cash flow troubles (late payments, seasonal drops)
- Unexpected expenses or ATO reviews
- Underestimating tax liabilities
- Lack of ongoing forecasting or planning
In response to the pandemic, the ATO took a softer approach to debt collection but that has since led to a significant build-up of unpaid tax, which now sits at around $52 billion. According to CreditorWatch, nearly $34 billion of that is owed by SMEs alone.
While it may feel like COVID is behind us, many businesses are still playing catch-up, especially when it comes to deferred tax obligations and rebuilding cash flow.
The ATO has now resumed active recovery efforts, including:
- Director Penalty Notices
- Garnishee orders
- Disclosures to credit reporting bureaus
The ATO is also issuing Director Penalty Notices (DPNs), which can make company directors personally liable for unpaid PAYG or superannuation, especially if lodgements are overdue and penalties become locked in. Left unaddressed, these actions can quickly escalate to insolvency.
What is Tax Debt Management?
Tax debt management means having a plan in place to understand, manage and stay ahead of your obligations to the ATO. It’s not just about lodging your BAS on time, it’s about cash flow visibility, early engagement with the ATO and smart structuring.
Done right, it can help you:
- Avoid debt spirals
- Negotiate with the ATO from a position of strength
- Preserve your business’ credit rating and reputation
One of the most effective mindset shifts is to treat tax like any other fixed cost of doing business, budgeting for it monthly, just like rent or wages.
5 Strategies for Smarter Tax Debt Management
Here’s how business owners can reduce their risk and take control of their tax position before things escalate.
1. Forecast Your Tax Obligations Quarterly
Use cloud accounting or simple spreadsheets to estimate your GST, PAYG and income tax liabilities each quarter. Planning ahead reduces last-minute stress and gives you time to act.
2. Create a Tax Buffer Account
Transfer a set percentage of income (e.g. 15–30%) into a separate account dedicated to tax. Keeping tax money ‘out of sight’ ensures it’s there when the ATO is due.
3. Don’t Ignore ATO Contact
If you receive a reminder or notice, don’t delay. The ATO is more flexible when you’re proactive. Many businesses avoid legal action simply by engaging early and setting up a payment plan.
Since April 2022, the ATO can disclose your tax debt to credit agencies if it exceeds $100k and is over 90 days old, unless you engage with them first.
The ATO is often willing to work with businesses that show initiative, including offering interest remissions, deferred payment arrangements or in some cases, support under hardship provisions.
4. Review PAYG Instalments Regularly
Your PAYG instalments are based on prior-year profits. If your income has changed significantly, you may be over- or underpaying. Recalculating these can ease cash flow or avoid end-of-year shortfalls.
5. Work With a Trusted Tax Advisor
Managing your tax isn’t only about ticking boxes, it’s about forward planning and making informed decisions that support your business growth. A good advisor helps you:
- Map out cash flow across the year
- Review your structure for tax effectiveness
- Communicate with the ATO when needed
- Identify tax-saving opportunities and avoid errors
Industries Facing the Greatest Risk
The latest data from CreditorWatch highlights industries where businesses are defaulting and collapsing at higher rates:
- Food and Beverage Services: 39.7%
- Retail Trade: 36.0%
- Manufacturing: 34.3%
- Construction and Transport also report high levels of outstanding tax debts.
If you operate in these sectors, your business may be more vulnerable to debt-related enforcement or insolvency action.
Spot the Red Flags
Not sure if you’re already at risk? Watch for these signs:
- You’ve used tax money to cover payroll or suppliers
- You’re unsure what you owe the ATO right now
- You’ve missed recent BAS or super lodgements
- You’ve received ATO letters or payment notices but haven’t acted
Stay Ahead, Don’t Catch Up
Many businesses only seek help after receiving a default notice, a garnishee order or a call from their bank. But the most successful outcomes happen when business owners act before they fall behind.
If you’re unsure where you stand with the ATO, a quick review could prevent a major setback. At Carbon, we regularly help business owners understand their tax risk, forecast liabilities and work through the best course of action, whether that’s managing cash flow, engaging with the ATO or planning for the year ahead.
ATO enforcement is only going to increase but insolvency isn’t inevitable. With proactive tax debt management and the right support, you can stay in control, reduce stress and protect your business for the long haul.
